$23.68 −0.2% from the 52-week high of $23.72 · +118.7% from the 52-week low of $10.83
This analysis is based on closing-price data as of October 2, 2026. Whether you're researching how to buy DHT Holdings, Inc. stock or you've just opened a brokerage account and are trying to time an entry, here are objective support levels and stop-loss references built from the RSI, MACD and ATR indicators.
DHT Holdings, an operator of very large crude carriers (VLCCs), has more than doubled off its 52-week low of $10.83 and closed the week at $23.68 — a 52-week closing high and just 0.2% under the intraday 52-week high of $23.72. The two-year picture is a steady 2025 climb, a sharp, high-volume surge in early 2026, a five-month sideways range, and a September breakout out of that range. The latest signal is a renewed close above the prior 20-day high on October 1 and 2, after a two-session pullback in late September. The move was shared across the crude-tanker group rather than specific to DHT, and the final session came on below-average volume, while RSI carries a flagged bearish divergence against the September 18 peak.
| Close | $23.68 |
|---|---|
| 52-week high / low | $23.72 (−0.2%) / $10.83 (+118.7%) |
| SMA5 / SMA20 / SMA60 | $22.83 / $22.12 / $19.87 — Close > SMA5 > SMA20 > SMA60, full bullish alignment |
| Bollinger (20) | Upper $23.82 · Mid $22.12 · Lower $20.42 · width 15.38% |
| aVWAP — 90d | $19.72 (anchor Jun 26, 2026) — price above |
| aVWAP — 2y | $18.75 (anchor Mar 2, 2026) — price above |
| RSI (14) | 70.4 — at the overbought line · bearish divergence flagged (Sep 18 $23.27 / RSI 78.56 → Oct 2 $23.68 / RSI 70.44) |
| Mansfield RS | +32.7% vs the S&P 500 · outperform · slope rising · prior week 22.92 · prior month 16.79 |
| MACD (12,26,9) | MACD 0.793 · Signal 0.740 · Histogram +0.053 · golden cross Oct 1, 2026 |
| ADX (14) | 27.4 — strong trend (direction-neutral) |
| ATR (14) | $0.82 — 3.4% of price |
| OBV — 2y / 90d | Accumulation, above MA20, slope rising in both frames (MA20 gap +37.01% 2y / +305.74% 90d) · no OBV divergence flagged |
| Volume | 3,512,800 shares — 0.82× the 20-day average of 4,294,215 (approx. 0.93× after adjusting for a quiet market session) |
| Stop references | 1×ATR $22.86 (−3.5%) · 2×ATR $22.05 (−6.9%) |
The moving-average stack is complete, and its parts are not new. Each condition has its own formation date: the close has held above SMA60 since July 20, and both SMA20 > SMA60 and the full SMA5 > SMA20 > SMA60 order have been in place since July 27. The close of $23.68 sits above SMA5 ($22.83), SMA20 ($22.12) and SMA60 ($19.87) — 7.0% above SMA20 and 19.2% above SMA60. What is new is the 20-day-high breakout: the stock closed above its prior 20-day high on October 1 and again on October 2.
The panel shows the route. An earlier run of 20-day-high closes from September 4 to September 18 carried the stock to $23.27, after which it gave back −3.52% on September 21 and −4.72% on September 22 and found its feet near the SMA20. The last five sessions (September 28 to October 2) were all up: +0.55%, +2.37%, +0.67%, +4.39% and +0.51%. Price now presses the upper Bollinger band ($23.82) with the bands at a moderate 15.38% width, and it sits well above the 90-day anchored VWAP at $19.72 (anchored June 26). On the two-year chart, the stock spent roughly March to August 2026 in a sideways range under the early-2026 peak; the September advance took it out of that range. The chart shows no unfilled gaps in either frame.
On the Fibonacci tool, the swing measured is the up-leg from the August 26 low of $18.32 to the September 18 high of $23.27. The close is now above that 0% anchor, so the retracement levels below — 23.6% at $22.10, 38.2% at $21.38, 50% at $20.80 — are pullback references rather than overhead levels.
Volume is the softest part of this setup. The October 2 session traded 3,512,800 shares, 0.82× the 20-day average of 4,294,215. The market as a whole was quiet that day, but even after adjusting for it the figure is only about 0.93× — below average, not above. The larger session of the week was October 1 (+4.39%), which came on roughly 1.1× its average, a modest rather than emphatic confirmation.
The 90-day panel shows a steadier pattern underneath: volume through September generally ran near or somewhat above its 20-day average, and the two pullback days of September 21–22 did not come on any exceptional selling volume. The heavy-volume episode on the two-year chart is the early-2026 surge, not the current leg. A breakout that holds on sub-average participation is common, but it is less convincing than one that draws in new volume — a point the bear case leans on below.
MACD sits at 0.793 against a signal line of 0.740, with the histogram turning positive at +0.053. The last cross was a golden cross on October 1, 2026. Both lines are well above zero, so this is not an early-trend cross: it is a re-acceleration after the late-September pause, when MACD rolled over from its mid-September peak and dipped below the signal line.
The panel also shows that the new MACD high has not been made — the line is still below the level it reached around mid-September, even though price has moved higher. That mirrors the RSI divergence in the next section: momentum has turned back up, but it is not yet as strong as it was at the previous price peak. A histogram this small can flip back with one weak session.
RSI(14) stands at 70.4, right at the overbought threshold. The chart flags a bearish divergence: on September 18, price closed at $23.27 with RSI at 78.56; on October 2, price closed higher at $23.68 but RSI reached only 70.44. A higher price high on a lower momentum high is the classic shape of a fading push.
Treat it as a caution, not a verdict on direction. A divergence is a possibility of a turn, not a confirmed top; it needs follow-through — a failure back below the September high and the SMA20 — to mean more. It can also be erased if RSI pushes above its 78.56 reading on a further advance. Note that RSI held in the 50s during the September 21–22 pullback rather than slipping toward 40, which is consistent with a trend that paused rather than broke.
Mansfield RS is +32.7% vs the S&P 500, in outperform territory with a rising slope. It was 22.92 a week ago and 16.79 a month ago, so the reading has gained about +9.75 points in a week and +15.89 points in a month — positive and accelerating on both horizons. On the two-year chart RS has stayed above zero since early 2026, after a long stretch near or below zero through 2025.
The context matters: the September and October strength was shared across the crude-tanker group. Peers such as Hafnia, Nordic American Tankers, International Seaways, Frontline and Scorpio Tankers rose alongside DHT in the September 28 – October 2 window, and no DHT-specific catalyst was identified. That makes this relative strength a sector story as much as a stock story — it can persist while tanker sentiment holds, and it can fade for the whole group at once.
ATR(14) is $0.82, or 3.4% of price — a typical daily range for a shipping stock, and toward the upper end of this stock's own 90-day readings. That puts the 1×ATR reference at $22.86 (−3.5%) and the 2×ATR reference at $22.05 (−6.9%). The 2×ATR level sits just below the SMA20 ($22.12) and the 23.6% retracement ($22.10), so several references cluster in the $22.05–$22.12 zone.
ADX is 27.4, above the 25 line that separates a trending stock from a ranging one. It has climbed from below 20 in August, which says the September move developed into a genuine trend. ADX measures strength, not direction, and at 27.4 it describes a trend that is established but not stretched.
OBV reads accumulation in both frames: above its MA20 with a rising slope on the two-year chart (+37.01% vs MA20) and on the 90-day chart. The 90-day gap figure of +305.74% is large mostly because that window's OBV MA20 sits close to zero, which inflates the percentage — read it as "clearly above," not as a precise magnitude. No OBV divergence is flagged in either frame.
On the 90-day panel, OBV turned up in September from deep in negative territory and has reached a new high for the window this week, moving with price rather than lagging it. That is a supportive contrast to the RSI divergence: cumulative volume flow is confirming the higher close even though momentum is not, and even though the final session's raw volume was below average.
| Scenario | Probability | Path | Trigger / Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breakout extends | 40% | Price clears the $23.72 52-week high and the $23.82 upper band, with SMA5 rising underneath and RSI pushing toward or above its September reading. | Trigger: daily close above $23.72 on volume above the 4,294,215 20-day average. Invalidation: close back below the September 18 high of $23.27. |
| Pause and retest | 40% | The divergence plays out as a sideways-to-lower drift back toward the $22.10–$22.12 zone (23.6% retracement and SMA20), as in late September, with the trend structure intact. | Trigger: closes back under $23.27 with RSI below 70. Invalidation: a decisive close below the 2×ATR reference at $22.05. |
| Failed breakout | 20% | Tanker-group weakness pulls the stock through the SMA20 cluster toward the 38.2%–50% retracements ($21.38–$20.80). | Trigger: close below $22.05. Invalidation of this path: recovery and close above $23.27. |
| Price | Role | Basis | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| $23.82 | Resistance | Upper Bollinger band | +0.6% |
| $23.72 | Resistance | 52-week high (intraday, October 2, 2026) | +0.2% |
| $23.68 | Current | Close of October 2, 2026 · 52-week closing high | — |
| $23.27 | Support | September 18 swing high (0% anchor of the $18.32 → $23.27 Fibonacci swing), now below the close | −1.7% |
| $22.86 | Support | 1×ATR reference | −3.5% |
| $22.12 | Support | SMA20 ($22.12) with the 23.6% retracement ($22.10) | −6.6% |
| $22.05 | 2×ATR stop | Objective invalidation reference, 2 × ATR $0.82 | −6.9% |
Below the stop reference: the 38.2% retracement at $21.38, the 50% at $20.80, the 61.8% at $20.21, SMA60 at $19.87, the 90-day aVWAP at $19.72, the two-year aVWAP at $18.75 and the August 26 swing low at $18.32.
This analysis is an educational interpretation of chart data and is not investment advice. Probabilities and levels are subjective estimates; every investment decision, and its outcome, is your own responsibility. All figures are derived from closing-price data through October 2, 2026 and are not updated after publication.
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